public notice: weather forecast september 21 2023
Weather Update
3-DAY BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS PUBLIC FORECAST
3-DAY PUBLIC FORECAST 6:00 AM TODAY AND TONIGHT THURSDAY 21ST SEPTEMBER 2023
GENERAL SITUATION: A STATIONARY FRONT PARKED JUST NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS ALONG WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALL INTERACTING WITH A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY…AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT.
SPECIAL WARNINGS: BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT DUE TO THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY AND BEACHGOERS FOR THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MAINLY ALONG ATLANTIC EXPOSURES…THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS…RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES AND TO TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS AS WELL AND TO REMAIN HYDRATED TODAY DUE TO HEAT INDICES EXPECTED IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS
WEATHER: VARIABLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HUMID WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS…SOME SHOWERS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY AND THUNDERSTORMS STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES.
ADVISORY: GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: VARIABLE AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
SEAS: 1 TO 3 FEET OVER THE OCEAN BUILDING UP TO 5 FEET ALONG ATLANTIC EXPOSURES IN LINGERING SWELLS.
SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
WEATHER: PARTLY SUNNY AND HOT WITH THE CHANCE OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ADVISORY: GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN BUILDING UP TO 5 FEET ALONG ATLANTIC EXPOSURES IN LINGERING SWELLS.
HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY 92 °F 33 °C
HEAT INDEX TOMORROW 101 °F 40 °C
LOW TEMPERATURE TONIGHT 75 °F 24 °C
SUNRISE: 6:57 AM SUNSET: 7:06 PM
MOONRISE: 12:53 PM MOONSET: 11:26 PM
LOW TIDE: 6:14 AM HIGH TIDE: 12:44 PM
LOW TIDE: 7:16PM HIGH TIDE: 1:00 AM FRI
EXTENDED WEATHER OUTLOOK: (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS)…THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUPPORTD BY A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH KEEPING UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE ISLANDS FRIDAY. DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTHWARDS WHILE DRAGGING THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE ISLANDS INTO THE WEEKEND.
FORECAST FOR FRIDAY
WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HUMID WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
ADVISORY: GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: VARIABLE AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
SEAS: 1 TO 3 OVER THE OCEAN IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS IN NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS.
FORECAST FOR SATURDAY
WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HUMID WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
ADVISORY: GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: EAST AT 10 KNOTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
SEAS: 2 TO 3 FEET OVER THE OCEAN IN THE NW BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS IN NORHTEASTERLY SWELLS.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: AT 5AM HURRICANE NIGEL WAS LOCATED AT 40.6N AND 47.8W OR ABOUT 495 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MILES PER HOUR WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MILES PER HOUR...Elsewhere two other areas are being monitored in the tropics...(1) A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands expected to merge with another disturbance located a few hundred miles to its west in a few days. A tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend. Formation chance through 7 days is a high 70 percent...and (2) A non-tropical low pressure system expected to form to the east of the Florida peninsula within the next day or so. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics Friday. Formation chance through 7 days is a medium 40 percent...Elsewhere in the tropics, tropical cyclone formation is not expected through the next 7 days…
