public notice: weather forecast november 14 2023
Weather Update
BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3-DAY PUBLIC FORECAST
3-DAY PUBLIC FORECAST FOR 6:00 AM, TODAY AND TONIGHT, TUESDAY, 14TH NOVEMBER, 2023, ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY.
GENERAL SITUATION: A COLD FRONT IN THE VICINITY OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE SOUTHWARD BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND BRIEF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY. MEANWHILE, THE COMBINATION OF AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL FURTHER CONTRIBUTE TO SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY AND FRESH TO STRONG BREEZES ACROSS MOST AREAS.
SPECIAL WARNINGS: A GALE WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THIS AFTERNOON. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUD FORMATION. REDUCED VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED IN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. BEACHGOERS SHOULD ALSO EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION ALONG NORTH AND EAST COAST BEACHES DUE TO THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS GENERATED BY SWELLS. MOTORISTS AND PEDESTRIANS TRAVELLING ALONG COASTAL ROADS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION DUE TO OVERTOPPING WAVES, SEA SPRAY AND WIND DRIVEN SAND, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE GLASS WINDOW BRIDGE IN ELEUTHERA. FINALLY, RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH-FLOODING IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS DURING HEAVY OR PROLONGED RAINFALL EVENTS.
AREA: ALL AREAS
WEATHER: VARIABLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY TO WINDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.
ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND MARINERS IN THOSE AREAS ARE STRONGLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT AT THIS TIME. A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ISLANDS.
WINDS: NORTHEAST TO EAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS, INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO GALE FORCE IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET OVER OPEN WATER FOR ALL AREAS BUT BUILDING UP TO 9 FEET IN NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS IN THE NORTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ALONG NORTHERN AND EASTERN COASTLINES.
TUESDAY HIGH TEMPERATURE: 85°F / 29°C
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE: 72°F / 23°C
SUNRISE: 6:25 AM
SUNSET: 5:22 PM
MOONRISE: 7:38 AM
MOONSET: 6:19 PM
HIGH TIDE: 8:00 PM / 8:15 PM
LOW TIDE: 2:29 PM / 2:17 AM WED.
EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS): ON WEDNESDAY, A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT PROGRESSES FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE ISLANDS. MEANWHILE, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE, NORTH OF THE AREA, HAS A GOOD CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT ON THURSDAY BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY:
WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SQUALLY SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WINDS: EASTERLY AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES.
SEAS: 4 TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE BUT 7 TO 10 FEET ALONG ATLANTIC COASTS.
FORECAST FOR THURSDAY:
WEATHER: VARIABLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME CLEARING EXPECTED BY LATE EVENING.
WINDS: SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS.
SEAS: 4 TO 6 FEET NEARSHORE BUT UP TO 10 TO 12 FEET ALONG NORTHERN AND EASTERN COASTLINES.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in the next few days. Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system begins moving northeastward across the western and central portions of the Caribbean Sea. Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
