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public notice: weather forecast and weather outlook october 20th 2023

BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS PUBLIC FORECAST

PUBLIC FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FRIDAY 20TH OCTOBER 2023

GENERAL SITUATION:   TROUGHING OVER NORTHWEST BAHAMAS, ALONG WITH STREAMING TROPICAL MOISTURE, WILL SUPPORT BOUTS OF ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE ISLANDS…A COLD FRONT ACROSS WILL ENTER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND BRING COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS BEHIND IT.

SPECIAL WARNINGS: THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY. THE PUBLIC SHOULD BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WATERSPOUT OR TORNADIC ACTIVITY. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS DURING HEAVY OR PROLONGED RAINFALL. BEACHGOERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO ROUGH SURF AND POSSIBLE RIP CURRENTS.

FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

WEATHER: VARIABLY CLOUDY, WARM AND HUMID WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. SHOWERS MAY BE HEAVY AND THUNDERSTORMS STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES.

ADVISORY: EXPECT GUSTY WINDS, HIGHER SEAS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS:  VARIABLE, LESS THAN 10 KNOTS.

SEAS:     1 TO 3 FEET NEARSHORE BUILDING UP TO 4 FEET ALONG ATLANTIC EXPOSURES.

FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

WEATHER:  CLOUDY TO OVERCAST AND HUMID WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS, THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLE SQUALLY PERIODS TODAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. SHOWERS MAY BE HEAVY, AND THUNDERSTORMS STRONG TO SEVERE AT TIMES.

ADVISORY: EXPECT GUSTY WINDS, HIGHER SEAS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDS:  NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS. BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. 

SEAS:     2 TO 4 FEET OVER THE OCEAN.

DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURE:     82°F       28°C

OVERNITE LOW TEMPERATURE:      75°F      24°C

SUN, MOON & TIDES

SUNRISE: 7:10 AM           MOONRISE: 12:51 PM             HIGH TIDE: 12:25 PM &      12:48 AM SAT

SUNSET: 6:37 PM             MOONSET: 11:19 PM               LOW TIDE:   7:02 PM &        6:52 AM   SAT

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS:  THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE ENTIRE ISLAND CHAIN WITH SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY ALONG ITS BOUNDARY BUT MORE STABLE AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN ITS WAKE THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECAST FOR   SATURDAY

WEATHER: A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS WITH THE CHANCE OF A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 

WINDS:NORTHWEST TO NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, FALLING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES.       

SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET NEARSHORE BUT UP TO 5 FEET OFFSHORE OVER OPEN WATERS.              

FORECAST FOR     SUNDAY

WEATHER:VARIABLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSSTHE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS. DRIER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED ELSEWHERE.

WINDS:VARIABLE, LESS THAN 10 KNOTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. NORTHEASTERLY AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET NEARSHORE BUT UP TO 5 FEET OFFSHORE OVER OPEN WATERS

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK:  Tropical Storm Tammy located about 100 miles northeast of Barbados.  Elsewhere,  in the Southwestern Caribbean Sea, an area of low pressure could form by this weekend. This area has a low or 20 percent chance of formation through the next seven days.