public notice: weather forecast and tropical weather outlook september 19 2023
Weather Update
BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS PUBLIC FORECAST
THIS IS A PUBLIC FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT TUESDAY 19TH SEPTEMBER 2023 ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
GENERAL SITUATION: A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN VICINITY OF THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS WILL ENHANCE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS TODAY; MEANWHILE, WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA MAINTAINS LIGHT TO MODERATE BREEZES.
SPECIAL WARNINGS: BOATERS AND BEACHGOERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION DUE TO LINGERING SWELLS AND THE RISK OF HAZARDOUS RIP CURRENTS. MARINERS AND RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY ESPECIALLY IN THE EXTREME NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. RESIDENTS SHOULD ALSO LIMIT OUTDOOR ACTIVITY AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS DURING PEAK SUNSHINE HOURS DUE TO HEAT INDICES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
WEATHER: PARTLY SUNNY AND HOT WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION IS IN EFFECT DUE TO SWELLS…EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, BUT FALLING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET IN SHELTERED AREAS BUT UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE IN NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
WEATHER:PARTLY CLOUDY, HOT AND HUMID TODAY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
ADVISORY: A SMALL CRAFT CAUTION IS IN EFFECT DUE TO SWELLS…EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS BUT FALLING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES.
SEAS: 1 TO 3 FEET NEAR SHORE BUILDING UP TO 5 FEET OFFSHORE IN NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY
HIGH-TEMPERATURE TODAY 93°F 34°C
HEAT INDEX 102°F 39°C
LOW-TEMPERATURE TONIGHT 79°F 26°C
SUNRISE: 6:56AM SUNSET: 7:09PM
MOONRISE: 10:52AM MOONSET: 9:54PM
LOW TIDE: 4:52AM & 5:32PM
HIGH TIDE: 11:09AM & 11:22PM
EXTENDED FORECAST (FOR THE NEXT TWO (2) DAYS): THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY TO KEEP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY
WEATHER: VARIABLY CLOUDY, VERY WARM AND HUMID WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, BUT FALLING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET IN SHELTERED AREAS BUT UP TO 6 FEET OFFSHORE IN NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS.
FORECAST FOR THURSDAY
WEATHER: PARTLY CLOUDY, VERY WARM AND HUMID WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDS: EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS, BUT FALLING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES.
SEAS: 2 TO 4 FEET IN SHELTERED AREAS BUT UP TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE IN NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY SWELLS.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: 1. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by Wednesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and the system has a 70% chance of formation during the next 7 days.
- A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near the southeastern coast of the Florida peninsula late this week, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics this weekend while it moves generally northward. Formation chance for this system through the next 7 days is a low 30%.
