

TCIAA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT & DDME ARE MONITORING THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCES
TROPICAL WEATHER STATEMENT #1 FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS – Sunday, August 28, 2022, at 03:00 PM EDT
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is producing winds to near gale force, but the circulation remains elongated with an ill-defined centre. Although environmental conditions ahead of the system do not appear conducive for significant development, a tropical depression, at the very least, is likely to form later this week while moving slowly toward the west and then west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph, toward the waters east and northeast of the Leeward Islands.
Current model guidance indicates that the system will be in the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos Islands by the end of this week.
*Chance of formation over the next 48 hours...medium...40 percent
*Chance of formation over the next 5 days...high...70 percent
RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE PUBLIC
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The TCIAA Meteorological Department and the Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies will continue to monitor this system and advise the public accordingly.
Potential Impacts: Minor
Likelihood: Medium
Risk Level: LOW
Forecaster: Holly Hamilton